In street convenience sampling- all residents of Biscester constituency, screened via postcode lookup. Quota cells based on constituency demographics values. Multiple locations within the constituency and times of day used to help eliminate bias
We use rake weighting to make our sample representative of the constituency. In particular we weight our data to match ONS targets on the following variables: age, gender, highest qualification, plus 2019 general election vote and likelihood to vote in this upcoming general election.
Because only a sample of the full constituency population was interviewed, all results are subject to margin of error, meaning that not all differences are statistically significant. For example, in a question where 50% (the worst case scenario as far as margin of error is concerned) gave a particular answer, with a sample of 1000 it is 95% certain that the ‘true’ value will fall within the range of 3.1% from the sample result. This is based on the current parliamentary electors of approximately 71,000. Sub-samples from the cross-breaks will be subject to higher margin of error. Conclusions drawn from cross-breaks with very small sub-samples should be treated with caution.
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Omnisis are members of the The British Polling Council and abides by it’s rules and regulations for published opinion polling & are also members of ESOMAR. Brian Cooper is a CMRS.
http://www.britishpollingcouncil.org
Omnisis Ltd Registered in England & Wales Number 04602421
All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.