GE 2024 Gillingham + Rainham

Conducted between 05 Jun 2024 and 16 Jun 2024
Client name The Economist
Fieldwork period 05 Jun 2024 - 16 Jun 2024
Fieldwork method On street
Universe Nationally representative of Gillingham + Rainham constituency
Sample size 376
Sample geography All residents aged 18+ living with the Gillingham + Rainham constituency
Tables Download
Sampling procedures In street convenience sampling- all residents of Gillingham + Rainham constituency, screened via postcode lookup. Quota cells based on constituency demographics values. Multiple locations within the constituency and times of day used to help eliminate bias
Weighting procedures We use rake weighting to make our sample representative of the constituency. In particular we weight our data to match ONS targets on the following variables: age, gender, highest qualification, plus 2019 general election vote and likelihood to vote in this upcoming general election.
Margin of Error Because only a sample of the full constituency population was interviewed, all results are subject to margin of error, meaning that not all differences are statistically significant. For example, in a question where 50% (the worst case scenario as far as margin of error is concerned) gave a particular answer, with a sample of 1000 it is 95% certain that the ‘true’ value will fall within the range of 3.1% from the sample result. This is based on the current UK parliamentary electors of approximately 71,000. Sub-samples from the cross-breaks will be subject to higher margin of error. Conclusions drawn from cross-breaks with very small sub-samples should be treated with caution.
Question presentation All data tables shown in full below, in order and wording put to respondents, including but not limited to all tables relating to published data and all relevant tables preceding them. Tables for demographic questions might not be included but these should be clear from the cross-breaks on published tables. In all questions where the responses are a list of parties, names or statements, these will typically have been displayed to respondents in a randomising order. The only questions which would not have had randomising responses would be those in which there was a natural order to maintain – e.g. a scale from “strongly agree” to “strongly disagree”, a list of numbers from 0 to 10 or questions which had factual rather than opinion-related answers such as demographic information. “Other”, “Don't know” and “Refused” responses are not randomised.

Not all questions will have necessarily been asked to all respondents – this is because they may be follow-on questions from previous questions or only appropriate to certain demographic groups. Lower response counts should make clear where this has occurred.

Data were analysed and weighted by Omnisis

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Omnisis are members of the The British Polling Council and abides by it's rules and regulations for published opinion polling & are also members of ESOMAR. Brian Cooper is a CMRS.

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All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.

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