Post-budget blues hit Tory votes, new poll reveals

Brian Cooper | 18 November 2022
Post-budget blues hit Tory votes, new poll reveals

The Conservative vote was slashed by five points following the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement, according to a new voter intention poll by Omnisis.

In its weekly tracker, the research agency reported Labour’s lead in the polls held steady at 48% (down one point from last week), while the Tory share slumped by five points to 21%.

Despite the fall in potential votes, Rishi Sunak’s approval rating as Prime Minister jumped four points to 33%, with 29% disapproving of his leadership.

The latest poll, conducted with 1,159 people on 17th November, also revealed:

  • 61% of people would vote to rejoin the EU if another referendum was held, a four-point increase, with 39% saying they’d vote to stay out - a four-point drop.
  • 35% of people thought Labour’s Sir Keir Starmer would make the best Prime Minister (a four point drop) while 30% think Rishi Sunak is the best bet (a two-point drop). 35% said they didn’t know who would make the best leader, a six-point increase.
  • Finally, 82% said they would be very likely or fairly likely to vote if a GE was held tomorrow, with 9% saying they would be fairly or very unlikely to participate.

Brian Cooper, Managing Director of Omnisis, said: “The Chancellor’s Autumn Statement was always going to cause a reaction and it appears that voters have echoed the array of negative newspaper headlines today.

“It’s fascinating to watch voters react in real time through our polling which I think gives a robust and reliable sense of how people in the nation are feeling.

“Our poll also revealed that 69% of voters say the economy is their biggest concern, followed by inflation at 65%, so as we all feel the impact of the budget in the coming weeks and months, it will be interesting to see how voter intention aligns with the cost of living.”

The poll questioned 1,159 people and is weighted to a nationally representative population.

For the full data, click here:

Omnisis Ltd

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